From Mutation to Metabolism: A Broader View of Cancer Development

Erik Peper, PhD, BCB1 and Richard Harvey, PhD2

1 Biofeedback Health, Berkeley, CA and 2 Institute for Holistic Health, San Francisco State University

My aunt died of breast cancer and my mother was an identical twin. She and her sister resembled each other so closely that family members often couldn’t tell them apart. For the first 26 years of their lives, they both lived in Amsterdam. After they married, they moved to different cities. At the age of 82, my mother’s twin was diagnosed with breast cancer with metastasis to the brain and died that year. For my mother, this was one of the most devastating experiences of her life. It was as if half of her had died. Even with this loss, my mother never developed cancer and lived to the age of 95. The situation became even more complicated when my cousin (the daughter of my mother’s twin) also died of breast cancer at the age of 53, while my mother’s two daughters remained cancer-free. -Erik Peper, PhD. Reproduced by permission from Peper, Gorter and Faass (2026).     

Cancer, with a capital ‘C’ along with each of the many kinds of malignant cellular processes is often understood primarily in terms of a disease driven by genetic mutations. This blog begins with observations from twin studies along with ongoing and emerging research suggests that genetics may represent susceptibility rather than destiny. In the case of identical twins, the experience of developing different cancer outcomes illustrates the importance of environmental exposures, lifestyle choices, specific metabolism interactions, immune functions, and particular cellular physiology.

The blog examines prevalent hypotheses about cancer processes which acknowledge interactions and functions such as immune, metabolic and evolutionary pressures. In particular, the paper argues in favor of revisiting the Warburg effect and the role of mitochondrial dysfunction in cancer development. The Warburg metabolic theory proposes that impaired mitochondrial energy production may drive cells toward an ancient survival pathway characterized by increased glucose fermentation, loss of specialized cellular function, and uncontrolled or unregulated proliferation. This perspective does not reject the strong role of genetics in cancer processes but rather places DNA and RNA within a broader biological context influenced by metabolism, epigenetics, and the environment. Understanding cancer as a systemic metabolic disorder may expand prevention strategies and complement existing treatments by emphasizing lifestyle, environmental, and metabolic interventions.

Twin Studies: Genetics as Predisposition, Not Destiny

For decades, research on cancer causes and treatments has been dominated by the Somatic Mutation Theory (SMT), which proposes that cancers arise through the accumulation of DNA mutations (Weinberg, 2023; Huang et al., 2025). This SMT framework has guided the “War on Cancer” and has led to remarkable advances in targeted therapies, chemotherapy, immunotherapy, and radiation treatments. These strategies have saved countless lives, yet they primarily focus on eliminating malignant cells rather than understanding why normal cells become malignant in the first place. While a variety of mutation-focused approaches has yielded remarkable therapeutic successes, one could expect that genetically identical individuals would develop the same or similar cancers.

Decades of twin research suggests otherwise. In the landmark Nordic Twin Study of Cancer, Lichtenstein and colleagues (2000) analyzed nearly 45,000 pairs of monozygotic (identical) and dizygotic (fraternal) twins from Sweden, Denmark, and Finland. If one identical twin developed cancer, the co-twin’s probability of developing the same cancer was about 10% which is much lower than expected if inherited genes alone determined cancer risk. Heritable factors accounted for only a portion of susceptibility (approximately 27% for breast cancer, 35% for colorectal cancer, and 42% for prostate cancer). The remaining risk was attributed largely to environmental influences, lifestyle, aging, and biological processes that occur during life (Lichtenstein et al., 2000; Mucci et al., 2016; Harris et al., 2019).

Both specific cancer investigations along with epidemiological findings across many places, people, and types of cancers suggest that genes create a predisposition, but they do not inevitably determine whether cancer develops. Instead, the cellular environment, metabolic health, environmental exposures, and epigenetic regulation strongly influence whether that predisposition is expressed. Simplistically stated, Genetics loads the gun and lifestyle and environment pulls the trigger (Peper et al., 2026).

The success of cancer treatments based on current oncology theories means that the Somatic Mutation Theory (SMT) provides a partial explanation of cancer processes. Extending the SMT of carcinogenesis to include Warburg-like theories has led to increasing evidence which suggests that metabolic dysfunction, mitochondrial injury, chronic inflammation, immune dysregulation, and environmental exposures all contribute to carcinogenesis. A useful framing of cancer risk related to inherent or heritable factors in comparison to non-intrinsic or non-genetic factors has been described by others (Brennan & Davey-Smith, 2022; Karras et al., 2024; Rahman et al., 2018; Wu et al., 2018). 

For example, Wu et al., (2018) suggest that it is not possible to modify ‘random errors in DNA replication’ as an intrinsic risk factor, it is possible to partially modify endogenous risk factors related to inflammation or hormone production or fully mediate or modify directly and indirectly moderate non-genetic exogenous risk factors associated with toxic carcinogenic exposures that include exposures to some products from carcinogenic interactions with bacterial, viral, fungal and parasitic products, tobacco products, ultra-processed food and beverage products and chemicals (e.g., preservatives, pesticides, contaminants, dyes, non-nutritive chemicals such as sweeteners), industrial pollutant and chemical products (e.g. endocrine disrupting ‘forever’ chemicals such as in plastics), and lifestyle moderators such as lack of sleep, exercise, relaxation from mental ruminations and strain. A simplified model pathway would be: Risk of cancer is based on intrinsic genetic factors plus non-intrinsic endogenous and exogenous ‘epigenetic’ factors moderated by individual adaptive capacity to reduce endogenous or mitigate exogenous non-intrinsic factors.

Rather than competing explanations, mechanisms of cancerous disease processes may interact to determine whether genetically susceptible cells remain healthy or progress toward malignancy. These factors may explain that the overall cancer mortality has declined substantially over the past several decades and is predominantly due to the decreased tobacco use, earlier detection, and improvements in treatment. At the same time, the incidence of several cancers, including colorectal and breast cancer, has increased among younger adults (Siegel et al., 2025; American Cancer Society, 2024; Ugai et al., 2022; Lee, 2026). These trends suggest that additional biological and environmental factors deserve closer examination. Beyond regulating exposure to lifestyle factors such as tobacco products as a mediator of reduced cancer mortality, theories by Warburg and colleagues have pointed to metabolic regulation, including regulation of sugars, as a mediator in cancer mortality.

The Metabolic Origin: Revisiting the Warburg Effect

An alternative framework proposes that cancer is fundamentally a disorder of cellular metabolism. This concept dates back to Otto Warburg, who received the 1931 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine for discovering that cancer cells exhibit a distinctive pattern of energy metabolism (Bononi et al., 2022; Otto, 2016; Nobel Prize Outreach, 2026). He showed that cancer cells rely predominantly on glucose fermentation, an anerobic process for making energy without oxygen (e.g. glucose splits into pyruvate and makes two adenosine triphosphate molecules) which is much less efficient than making energy through oxidative phosphorylation, even when oxygen is abundant in a cancer cell. The vast majority of cancerous cell growth depends on a less efficient glucose metabolism form of energy (Kim, 2017; Warburg, Negelein & Posener, 1924). The Warburg effect has been recognized as a hallmark of cancer for nearly a century (Seyfried & Chinopoulos, 2021).

Non-cancerous healthy cells mainly generate energy by producing ATP through oxidative phosphorylation within the mitochondria. Healthy cells are metabolically flexible and can generate energy from both glucose and free fatty acid oxidation (FAO). During periods of fasting, exercise, or carbohydrate restriction, triglycerides stored in adipose tissue are broken down into free fatty acids and glycerol (Eberle, 2013). The liver also converts free fatty acids into ketone bodies, which provide an efficient alternative fuel for the brain and many other tissues when glucose availability is reduced (Wakil & Abu-Elheiga, 2009; Edwards & Mohiuddin, 2023).

When mitochondrial respiration is chronically impaired by environmental toxins, oxidative stress, metabolic dysfunction, or other factors associated with carcinogenesis, cells may shift from efficient oxidative phosphorylation to a more primitive, glycolytic mode of energy production that can generate ATP in the absence of oxygen. Mitochondrial function can decline as people age when accumulation of reactive oxygen species which can directly harm mitochondrial DNA (Bondy, 2024; Cui et al., 2012; Madamanchi & Runge, 2007). In addition, mitochondrial function can also decline due to the indirect moderating effects of lifestyle choices (Caturano et al., 2025; Lemos et al., 2023; San-Millán, 2023).

As described by Miwa et al., (2022), when mitochondrial function declines, mitochondrial dysfunction can contribute to cellular senescence which is the hallmarks of aging. As a response healthy cells can progressively relinquishes their specialized role within the tissue and adopts characteristics of a more ancestral, less differentiated state (Zhang et al., 2025).

Zhang et al. (2025) suggests a few mechanisms which explain the shift of healthy cells away from specialized states towards a less differentiated state, such as shifts in the tricarboxylic acid cycle (TCA) which rely on healthy mitochondria to produce cofactors such as acetyl-CoA and positively charged Nicotinamide Adenine Dinucleotide (NAD+), along with drops in chromatin, inhibiting DNA and histone demthylases (locking chromatin in a hyper-methylated state, and an upregulation of glycolysis. Additionally, cells ‘sense’ when mitochondria have low energy production such as a high ratio of adenosine mono-phosphate or di-phosphate (AMP/ADP) to adenosine tri-phosphate (ATP), which then leads to the AMP-activated protein kinase (AMP-K) pathway (Mihaylova & Shaw, 2011). Finally, hypoxia-inducing factor (HIF) signaling is how cells ‘sense’ and adapt to changes in available oxygen, and HIF binds to DNA, activating specific genes (Huang et al., 2023). The Warburg theory suggests that when mitochondrial dysfunction directly or indirectly reduces oxidative phosphorylation, the cells shift energy production from the mitochondria to cytoplasmic glycolysis which is a hallmark of unicellular ‘ancestral’ organisms or more embryonic or stem-like cellular activity (Suomalainen, & Nunnari, 2024; Zong et al., 2024).

It is as if your cells suddenly forget they’re part of a team. Instead of working together like citizens in a well-organized society, they revert to their most primitive programming; the “me first” mentality of our single-celled ancestors. This is what happens in cancer where sophisticated multicellular cooperation gets hijacked by an ancient survival script buried deep in our biological software. Sonnenschein and Soto (1999) describe this process in their book The Society of Cells (1999), “the default state of cells is proliferation.” In other words, multiplication isn’t some aberrant behavior; it’s actually the factory setting when single cells began. Every cell carries this “go forth and multiply” command like prehistoric programming code.

In healthy tissue, cells have learned to override this ancient impulse. They’ve evolved sophisticated “stop” signals, quality control mechanisms, and cooperative protocols that keep the peace. Cancer occurs when these civilized controls break down, and cells revert to their evolutionary factory settings—endless growth, damn the consequences.

It’s as if your cells suddenly decide to ignore millions of years of evolutionary teamwork and go back to playing by the rules that worked when life was just lone microbes floating in primordial soup.

Under Survival Threat, Organisms Revert to Their Oldest Survival Mechanisms

The same regression process can be observed in human beings. When children experience overwhelming stress, they often revert to earlier developmental behaviors, such as becoming incontinent or seeking protection by hiding behind a parent. Similarly, when adults perceive an immediate threat to survival, the stress response is not always fight or flight. Instead, the body may enter a freeze response characterized by profound immobilization.

This freeze response represents an ancient survival strategy that is activated when the nervous system perceives extreme, life-threatening danger. In this state, heart rate slows, metabolism is reduced, and movement is inhibited through activation of the dorsal vagal complex which is the evolutionarily older branch of the vagus nerve according to polyvagal theory, (Porges, 2023). For reptiles and other primitive vertebrates, this physiological strategy can increase the likelihood of survival until the danger has passed.

Metabolic Theory in Context

A ‘metabolic perspective’ related to carcinogenicity, or related to reversion to more primitive types of behaviors, does not dismiss the importance of genetics. Rather, a metabolic perspective places genetic mutations within a broader biological framework in which metabolism, mitochondrial integrity, immune surveillance, environmental exposures, and epigenetic regulation interact to determine whether a cell remains healthy, or progresses toward malignancy. From this perspective, cancer represents more than the accumulation of genetic mutations. It reflects a regression to an ancient cellular survival program in which energy production and reproduction, rather than specialized function and cooperation with neighboring cells, becomes the overriding priority. Genetic mutations may therefore be viewed not only as the initiating a set of complex interactions that reflect causes of cancer but also as downstream consequences of chronic metabolic dysfunction and mitochondrial damage.

If cancer represents the activation of an evolutionarily ancient cellular survival program triggered by metabolic dysfunction, then interventions that improve metabolic health can reduce risk associated with carcinogenesis which complement conventional treatment. As Dang (2012) points out, “excessive caloric intake is associated with an increased risk for cancers, while caloric restriction is protective, perhaps through clearance of mitochondria or mitophagy, thereby reducing oxidative stress.”

One practical implication is for people to follow often repeated advice: decrease the availability of rapidly absorbed carbohydrates by minimizing the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages, refined starches, and ultra-processed foods while emphasizing whole, nutrient-dense foods. Broadly stated, such dietary changes in sugar intake can improve metabolic resilience, reduce chronic inflammation, and create a physiological environment that is less favorable for the metabolic adaptations observed in many cancers. Although additional clinical research continues to provide evidence supporting the effectiveness of ‘lifestyle’ and epigenetic strategies across different cancer types, the metabolic perspective offers a compelling framework for prevention and adjunctive therapy.

The metabolic theory of cancer based upon the Warburg effect offers hope in treatment by reducing glucose availability may help slow the growth of some cancers. The process is described clearly by Professor Thomas Seyfried of Boston College (Seyfried et al., 2014; Seyfried et al., 2021). His metabolic theory remains an active area of research, however is not the current consensus view on cancer biology. Consider watching the compelling overview of this metabolic theory presented by Professor Thomas Seyfried’s in his YouTube lecture, Cancer as a Metabolic Disease,

What can you do to reduce cancer risk and support healing

The metabolic theory of cancer presented in this paper suggests behavioral and lifestyle strategies to reduce cancer risk and slow or prevent cancer growth. Simply stated, reduce excessive glucose availability which becomes the main energy source for cancer cells. Clinical improvement may be possible if cancer cells are put on a diet (Stetka, 2016). Changing diet is one component to optimize what you can do to reduce cancer risk, support our immune system to promote healing and optimize health although the outcome is not totally in our hands.  Implement the following environmental and lifestyle behaviors promote health and healing.

Reduce and eliminate ultra-processed foods, simple carbohydrates and sugar. These increase the risk of cancers by 20 to 50 percent. Sadly, many patients undergoing chemo and radiation therapy and have difficulty with swallowing, are recommended to drink oral caloric rich supplements (such as Ensure Plus or Boost Very High Calorie) that are specially formulated to provide dense calories and protein in a small volume. They contain between 15 to 22 grams of sugar (1 to 2 tablespoons of sugar) in an 8 ounce serving– the sugar which paradoxically encourages  cancer growth.

Reduce and eliminate exposure to endocrine disruptors. These are chemicals that can mimic, block, or interfere with the body’s hormones, due to higher estrogen levels (in milk and beef, for example) and pesticides (some of which act as estrogen mimics). This means eliminating as much as possible all plastics and eat mainly organic foods that do not contain herbicides or pesticides. If possible, eat organic foods.

Reduce air and water pollution that are known factors to cause cancers.  This means use air and water filters at home since more than 50% of drinking water in the United States contain cariogenic substances and air pollution from car or fires are harmful.

Increase physical activity.  Movement/exercise is important because that reduces lymphatic circulation and blood flow, impacting the immune system in the long term.

For detailed information and recommendations what you can use to reduce cancer risk and optimize health, see our book, Cancer Reconsidered-Why Environment, Lifestyle and Immunity Matter more than we thought.

Additional relevant blogs

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Edited with the help of ChatGPT


Can Your Daily Choices Influence Cancer Risk and Recovery?

What if the way you eat, move, sleep, manage stress, and connect with others could influence your body’s ability to prevent disease and support healing?

Most of us have been taught to think of cancer primarily as a genetic disease. Yet an expanding body of scientific research tells a more hopeful story: while genes matter, they are only part of the picture. Our environment, lifestyle, immune system, and even the quality of our relationships can profoundly influence health.

These are the questions explored in the newly published book Cancer Reconsidered: Why Environment, Lifestyle, and Immunity Matter More than We Thought, by Erik Peper, Robert Gorter, and Nancy Faass.

Written for people living with cancer, their families, healthcare professionals, and anyone interested in optimizing health, the book translates decades of scientific research into practical, evidence-based strategies that readers can use in everyday life.

Rather than viewing cancer through a single lens, Cancer Reconsidered brings together insights from conventional medicine with evidence-based complementary approaches. The authors explore how nutrition, physical activity, stress, sleep, environmental exposures, immune function, and social support interact to influence both cancer risk and the body’s remarkable capacity for repair and resilience.

One of the book’s central messages is both simple and empowering: although we cannot change our genes, we can often change the conditions in which our genes are expressed. Daily choices matter. Healthy habits can strengthen the body’s natural defenses, reduce inflammation, support immune function, and improve quality of life.

A particularly practical chapter explores blood sugar regulation and metabolism. Using continuous glucose monitors (CGMs) together with smartphone apps, readers can observe in real time how different foods, exercise, stress, and sleep affect their glucose levels. Instead of following one-size-fits-all advice, they become active investigators of their own health, discovering what works best for their unique physiology.

Throughout the book, the emphasis is not on fear, but on possibility. Scientific evidence increasingly shows that hope, meaningful social connections, regular movement, nourishing food, restorative sleep, effective stress management, and resilience are not simply “nice ideas”—they are biological factors that can significantly influence health and well-being.

Cancer Reconsidered invites readers to move beyond the question, “What causes cancer?” and instead ask, “What can I do today to create the best possible conditions for health?” It offers a thoughtful, scientifically grounded roadmap for anyone seeking to answer that question.

Cancer Reconsidered: Why Environment, Lifestyle, and Immunity Matter More than We Thought is now available on Amazon in paperback and and affordable ebook Kindle editions. https://www.amazon.com/s?k=cancer+reconsidered


Corporations: The new(old) disease vectors as they choose profits over health

We can invest in preventing illness now by reducing our exposure to environmental toxins — or we can pay a far higher price later trying to treat the resulting  chronic and often debilitating diseases.”

Ever since the 1962 publication of Rachel Carson’s groundbreaking book, Silent Spring, which documented the harm environmental pollution caused, government has, often reluctantly,  set limits intended to protect Americans from exposure to harmful chemicals in our food, air and water (Carson, 1964). These regulations did not emerge easily. As the governmental regulations were being proposed and implemented, they were consistently challenged by the very  large corporations that manufactured and profited from these chemicals.

History reminds us how slowly public health protections can unfold. Consider how long it took for smoking to be prohibited in public spaces even though the harmful effects had been documented since the 1950s (Doll and Hill, 1954; Doll & Hill, 1964; Wynder & Graham,1985).  For decades, the science was clear, yet policy and governmental actions were delayed. Only in the early 2000s did many states began banning smoking in workplaces, restaurants, and bars. The shift in public policy saved many lives and the reduction in smoking has been the major reason for the decrease in cancer mortality over the last twenty-five years.

We are going backwards

The Trump administration  has rescinded the 2009 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency  endangerment finding on greenhouse gases, loosening vehicle emission standards, and weakening pollution controls on power plants and oil and gas operations (Tabuchi, 2026). The health consequences may not appear immediately; however, they are predictable. The increased exposure today will again contribute to increased rates of cancer, respiratory illness, cardiovascular disease, and developmental disorders tomorrow.

To understand how the government regulations have been revised so that once again Americans will be more exposed to toxins in their food, air, and water, read the superb investigative report published by U.S. Right to Know  whose mission is to pursuing truth and transparency for public health.

Their most recent report, Tracing Bayer’s ties to power in Trump’s Washington, describes in detail the hidden social connections, lobbying and political donations that lead “The White House to invokes the Defense Production Act to guarantee supplies of elemental phosphorus and glyphosate-based herbicides. Regulators reapprove dicamba, a Bayer herbicide twice blocked by federal courts, and clear the way for new pesticides containing toxic, persistent PFAS “forever” chemicals (Malkan, 2026).“ 

When regulatory safeguards weaken, corporations can once again function as disease vectors-not through infection, but through environmental exposure. By loosening the pollution standards, federal policy will negatively affect the health of both present and future generations. 

I encourage you to explore many superb investigative reports and practical  suggestions how to avoid these toxins exposure  that are available on U.S. Right to Know website:

One exposure. Twenty generations later, the damage is still unfolding

Glyphosate: Cancer, liver disease, endocrine disruption and other health concerns

Hormone-disrupting chemicals contaminate breast milk, global review shows; scientists say breastfeeding is still best

Big Food ‘transparency’ campaign seeks to block tough new food safety laws

Ultra-processed foods damage health in ways that calories don’t explain, new study says

Listen to the expanded podcast based upon this blog and created by Google Notebook LM.

See also the following blogs

References

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Doll, R., & Hill, A. B. (1954). The mortality of doctors in relation to their smoking habits: A preliminary report. British Medical Journal, 1(4877), 1451–1455. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.1.4877.1451

Doll, R., & Hill, A. B. (1964). Mortality in relation to smoking: Ten years’ observations of British doctors. British Medical Journal, 1(5396), 1460–1467. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.1.5396.1460

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Tabuchi, H. (2026). Historic Climate Rollback Makes U.S. a Global Outlier on Tailpipe Rules. The New York Times, February 16, 2026. Accessed February 24, 2026 https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/16/climate/endangerment-finding-auto-emissions-regulations.html

Wynder, E.L., & Graham, A. (1985). JAMA, 253 (20), 2986-2994. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.1985.03350440064033


Rethink the monies spent on cancer screening tests

Erik Peper, PhD and Richard Harvey, PhD

Adapted from: Peper, E. & Harvey, R. (2024).  Rethinking the monies spent on cancer screening tests. Townsend e-Letter, Townsend Letters. The Examiner of Alternative Medicine, May 18, 2024. https://www.townsendletter.com/e-letter-34-are-we-reducing-cancer-or-just-looking-for-it/

Abstract
While cancer screening tests are commonly promoted for early detection and treatment, evidence increasingly suggests that widespread screening of asymptomatic individuals may not significantly extend lifespan and could contribute to overdiagnosis, overtreatment, and harm. Although billions are spent annually on screenings—$40 billion for colon, $15 billion for breast, and $4 billion for prostate cancer—some of these money might be more effectively invested in lifestyle interventions that reduce cancer risk and improve longevity. Meta-analyses indicate that only sigmoidoscopy for colorectal cancer shows a clear benefit in extending life, while other common screenings (e.g., mammography, PSA, FOBT) show minimal or no effect on overall mortality. Interestingly, breast cancer mortality declines have occurred in similarly European countries that delayed screening implementation as compared to countries that started screen earlier. This suggests that other contributing factors such as improved lifestyle, nutrition, and environmental changes may be the major factor in the reduction of breast cancer. We recommend shifting from profit-driven, generalized screening toward personalized, risk-adjusted methods using multi-omics technology and preventative lifestyle patterns. More critically, the focus should be prevention through diet, physical activity, stress management, sleep hygiene, environmental protections, and social support; since, it is estimated that 70 percent of all cancers are related to diet and environmental factors. Thus, resources need to be allocated toward empowering individuals and communities to adopt health-promoting behaviors and thereby reduce cancer incidence.

Keywords: cancer screening, overdiagnosis, lifestyle modification, preventive health,
immune competence

Cancer screening tests are based upon the rational that early detection of fatal cancers enables earlier and more effective treatments (Kowalski, 2021), however, there is some controversy.  Early screening may increase the risk of over diagnosis, treating false positives (people who did not have the cancer but the test indicates they have cancer) and potentially fatal treatment of cancers that would never progress to increase morbidity or mortality (Kowalski, 2021).

Today about $40 billion spent on colon cancer screening, $15 billion spent on breast cancer screening, and $4 billion spent on prostate cancer screening annually (CSPH, 2021). A question is raised whether the billions and billions of dollars spent on screening asymptomatic participants would be more wisely spent on promoting and supporting life style changes that reduce cancer risks and actually extend life span? That cancer screening is expensive does not mean no one should be screened. Instead, the argument is that the majority of healthcare dollars could be spent on health promotion practices and reserving screening for those people who are at highest risk for developing cancers.

What is the evidence that screening prolongs life?

Cancer screening tests appear correlated with preventing deaths since deaths due to cancers in the USA have decreased by about 28% from 1999 to 2020 (CDC, 2023a). Although cancer causes many of the deaths in the USA,  overall life expectancy has increased by less than 1% from 1999 to 2020. If cancer screening were more effective, the life expectancy should have increased more because cancer is the second leading cause of death (CDC, 2023b).  Consider also that deaths due to cancers may be coincident and or comorbid with other circumstances. For example, during the last four years, overall life expectancy in the USA has precipitously declined in part due to other causes of death such as the COVID pandemic and opioid overdose epidemic (Lewis, 2022). Decline in life expectancy in the USA has many contributing factors, including the ‘harms’ associated with cancer screening procedures. For example, perforations during colon cancer screening can lead to internal bleeding, or complications related to surgeries, radiotherapies or chemotherapies. Bretthauer et al., (2023) commented: “A cancer screening test may reduce cancer-specific mortality but fail to increase longevity if the harms for some individuals outweigh the benefits for others or if cancer-specific deaths are replaced by deaths from competing cause” (p. 1197).

Bretthauer et al. (2023) conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of 18 long-term randomized clinical trials involving 2.1 million Individuals with more than nine years of follow-up reporting on all-cause mortality. They reported that“…this meta-analysis suggest that current evidence does not substantiate the claim that common cancer screening tests save lives by extending lifetime, except possibly for colorectal cancer screening with sigmoidoscopy.”  

Following is a summary of Bretthauer et al. (2023) findings:

  • The only cancer screening with a significant lifetime gain (approximately 3 months) was sigmoidoscopy.
  • There was no significant difference between harms of screening and benefits of screening for:
    • mammography
    • prostate  cancer screening
    • FOBT (fecal occult blood test) screening every year or every other year
    • lung cancer screening Pap test cytology for cervical cancer screening, no randomized clinical trials with cancer-specific or all-cause mortality end points and long term follow-up were identified.

Potential for loss or harm (e.g., iatrogenic and nosocomial) versus potential for benefit and extended life

More than 35 years ago a significant decrease in breast cancer mortality was observed after mammography was implemented. The correlation suggested a causal relationship that screening reduced mortality (Fracheboud, 2004).  This correlation made logical sense since the breast cancer screening test identified cancers early which could then be treated and thereby would result in a decrease in mortality.

How much money is spent on screening that may  correlate with unintended harms?

The annual total expenditure for cancer screening is estimated to be between $40-$50 billion annually (CSPH, 2021).  Below are some of the estimated expenditures for common tests other than colorectal cancer screening, which arguably is costly; however, has potential benefits that outweigh potential harms.

What is the correlation between initiation of mammography and decrease in breast cancer mortality?

The conclusion that mammography reduced breast cancer mortality was based upon studies without control groups; however, this relationship could be causal or synchronistic.  The ambiguity of correlation or causation was resolved with the use of natural experimental control groups. Some European countries began screening 10 years earlier than other countries. Using statistical techniques such as propensity score matching when comparing the data from countries that initiated mammography screening early (Netherlands, Sweden and Northern Ireland) to countries that started screening 10 year later (Belgium, Norway and Republic of Ireland), the effectiveness of screening could be compared.

The comparisons showed no difference in the decrease of breast cancer mortality in countries that initiated breast cancer screening early or late. For example, there was no difference in the decrease of breast cancer mortality rates of women who lived in the Netherlands that started screening early versus those who lived in Belgium that began screening 10 years later, as is shown Figure 1 (Autier et al, 2011).

Figure 1. No difference in age adjust breast cancer mortality between the two adjacent countries even though breast cancer screening began ten years earlier in the Netherlands than in Belgium (graph reproduced from Autier et al, 2011).

The observations are similar when comparing neighboring countries: Sweden (early screening) to Norway (late screening) as well as Northern Ireland, UK  (early screening) compared to the Republic of Ireland (late screening). The systematic comparisons showed that screening did not account for the decrease in breast cancer mortality. To what extent could the decrease in mortality be related to other factors such as better prenatal and early childhood diet and life style, improved nutrition, reduction in environmental pollutants, and other unidentified  life style and environmental factors which improve immune competence?

A simplistic model to reduce the risk of cancers is described in the following equation (Gorter & Peper, 2011).

Cancer risk can be reduced, arguably by influencing risk factors that contribute to cancers as well as increasing factors to enhance immune competence. In the simple model above, ‘Cancer burden’ refers to the set of exposures that increase the odds of cancer formations. Categories include exposures to oncoviruses, environmental exposures (e.g., ionizing radiation, carcinogenic chemicals) as well as genetic (e.g., chromosomal aberrations, replication errors) and epigenetic factors (e.g., lifestyle categories related to eating, exercising, sleeping, and relaxing). In the model above, ‘Immune competence’ refers to a set of categories of immune functioning related to DNA repair, orderly cell death (i.e., processes of apoptosis), expected autophagy, as well as ‘metabolic rewiring,’ also called cellular energetics, that would allow the body to be able to reduce manage cancers from progressing (Fouad & Aanei, 2017) .

How do we examine the cancer burden/immune competence relationship?

Schmutzler et al., (2022) have suggested personalized and precision-medicine risk-adjusted cancer screening incorporating “… high-throughput “multi-omics” technologies comprising, among others, genomics, transcriptomics, and proteomics, which have led to the discovery of new molecular risk factors that seem to interact with each other and with non-genetic risk factors in a multiplicative manner.” The argument is that ‘profit-centered’ medicine could incorporate ‘multi-omics’ into risk-adjusted cancer screening as a way to reduce potential loss or harm due to other cancer screening procedures. Rather than simply screening for cancers using currently invasive or toxic procedures which may do more harm than good, consider more nuanced screening tests aimed at the so-called ‘hallmarks of cancer?’  For example, Hanahan (2022) suggests some technical targets for the multi-omics technologies. The following are some of the precision screening tests possible topersonalized medicine of 14 factors or processes related to:

  • cells evading growth suppression
  • non-mutational epigenetic reprogramming
  • avoiding immune destruction
  • enabling replicative immortality
  • tumor-promoting inflammation
  • polymorphic microbiomes
  • activating invasion and metastasis
  • inducing or accessing vasculature formation/angiogenesis
  • cellular senescence
  • genome instability and mutation
  • resisting cell death
  • deregulating cellular metabolism
  • unlocking phenotypic plasticity
  • sustaining proliferative signaling

Of the listed categories above, ‘phenotypic plasticity’ (cf. Feinberg, 2007; Gupta et al., 2019) suggests that lifestyle behaviors and environmental exposures play a role in cancer progression and regression.

Lifestyle and environmental factors can contribute to the development of cancers.

The 2008-2009 report from the President’s Cancer Panel appraised the National Cancer Program in accordance with the National Cancer Act of 1971 stated (Reuben, 2010):

Multiple research studies have shown that a healthy life style pattern is associated with decreased cancer risks and increased longevity. Lifestyle factors that have been documented to increase cancer risks in the United Kingdom (UK) as shown in figure 2.

Figure 2. Percentages of cancer cases in the UK attributable to different exposures. Adapted from Brown et al., 2018 and reproduced by permission from Key et al., 2020.

Similar findings have been reported by Song et al. (2016) from the long term follow-up of 126901 adult health care professionals.  People who never smoked, drank no alcohol or moderate alcohol (< 1 drink/d for women; < 2 drinks/d for men}, had a body-mass index (BMI) of at least 18.5 but lower than 27.5, did weekly aerobic physical activity of at least 75 vigorous-intensity minutes or 150 150 moderate-intensity minutes compared to those who smoked, drank, had high BMI and did not exercise had nearly half the cancer death rate. Song et al (2016) concludes:

Said another way, primary prevention should remain a priority for cancer control.

Given that many cancers are related to diet, environment and lifestyle, it is estimated that 50% of all cancers and cancer deaths could be prevented by modifying personal behavior. Thus, the monies spent on screening or even developing new treatments could better be spent on prevention along with implementing programs that promote a healthier environment, diet and personal behavior (AACR, 2011).

What can be done? Addressing systems not symptoms

From a ‘systems perspective,’ the first step is to reduce the cancer burden and carcinogenic agents that occur in our environment such environmental pollution (Turner et al., 2022). In many cases, governmental regulations that reduce cancer risk factors have been weakened, delayed, and contested for years through industry’s lobbying. It often takes more than 30 years after risk factors have been observed and documented before government regulations are successfully implemented, as exemplified in the battle over tobacco or, air pollution regulations related to particulates from burning fossil fuels (Stratton et al, 2001). 

Sadly, we cannot depend upon governments or industries to implement regulations known to reduce cancer risks. More within our control is implementing lifestyle changes that enhance immune competence and promote health. 

Implement a healthy life style that enhances immune competence and, supports health and well-being

Paraphrasing a trope of what some physicians may state: ‘Take two pills, and call me in the morning. Oh, and eat well, exercise, and get good rest.’ Broadly stated, the following are some controllable lifestyle behaviors that can decrease cancer risks and promotes health. Implementing environmental and lifestyle changes are very challenging because they are highly related to socio economic factors, cultural factors, industry push for profits over health, and self-care challenges since there are no immediate results experienced by behavior and lifestyle changes.

In many cases, the effects of harmful life-style and environment factors are only observed twenty or more years later (e.g., diabetes, lung cancer, cirrhosis of the liver). The individual does not experience immediate benefits of lifestyle changes thus it is more challenging to know that your healthy life style has an effect.  The process is even more complex because in most cases it is not a single factor but the interaction of multiple factors (genetics, lifestyle, and environment). The complexity of causality so often conflicts with the simplistic research studies to identify only one isolated risk factor. Instead of waiting for the definitive governmental guidelines and regulations, adopt a ‘precautionary principle’ which means do not take an action when there is uncertainty about its potential harm (Goldstein, 2001).  Do not wait for screening; instead, take charge of your health and implement as many of the following behaviors and strategies to enhance immune competence and thereby reduce cancer risks.

Many studies have suggested that eating organic foods and in particular more fruits and vegetable such as a Mediterranean diet is associated with increased health and longevity. Similarly, people who eat do not eat highly-processed or ultra-processed foods have better health status (Van Tulleken, 2023).   For example, In the large prospective study of 68, 946 participants, adults who consumed the most organic fruits, vegetables, dairy products, meat and other foods had 25% fewer cancers when compared with adults who never ate organic food (Baudry et al., 2018; Rabin, 2018). Similarly, many studies have reported that those who adhere consistently to a Mediterranean diet have a significantly lower incidence of chronic diseases (such as cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, etc.) and cancers compared to  those who do not adhere to a Mediterranean diet (Mentella et al., 2019).

Air pollution and the exposure to airborne carcinogens are a significant risk factor for cancers as illustrated by the increased cancer rates among smokers. In the USA, the reduction of smoking has significantly decreased the lung cancer deaths (US Department of Health and Human Services, 2014).

Many studies have documented that people who exercise regularly and are otherwise non–sedentary but are active their entire lives have the lowest risk for breast cancers and colon cancers. Women who exercise 3 hours a week or more have a 30-40% lower risk of developing breast cancer (NIH NCI, 2023).  The NIH National Cancer Institute summary concludes that exercises also significantly benefited the following cancer survivors (NIH NCI, 2023):

  • Breast cancer: In a 2019 systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies, breast cancer survivors who were the most physically active had a 42% lower risk of death from any cause and a 40% lower risk of death from breast cancer than those who were the least physically active (Spei et al, 2019). 
  • Colorectal cancer: Evidence from multiple epidemiologic studies suggests that physical activity after a colorectal cancer diagnosis is associated with a 30% lower risk of death from colorectal cancer and a 38% lower risk of death from any cause (Patel et al., 2019). 
  • Prostate cancer: Limited evidence from a few epidemiologic studies suggests that physical activity after a prostate cancer diagnosis is associated with a 33% lower risk of death from prostate cancer and a 45% lower risk of death from any cause ((Patel et al., 2019). 
  • Implement stress management. 

Chronic stress may reduce immune competence and increase the risk of cancers as well as hinders healing from cancer treatments (Dai et al., 2020). The results of numerous studies have shown that implementing stress management spractices uch as  Cognitive-behavioral stress management (CBSM) improves mood and lowers distress during treatment and, is also associated with longer survival compared to control groups in the 8-15 year follow up (Stagl et al., 2015).

The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) reports that, when the human circadian clock is disrupted, the likelihood of developing cancers, including lung cancers, intestinal cancers, and breast cancers, dramatically increases (Huang, et al.,  2023). Go to bed at the same time and, have about 8 hours of sleep. As much as possible avoid night shifts at work along with frequent jet lag as that highly disrupts the circadian rhythm.

Absence of social support, feeling lonely and socially isolated tends reduces immune competence and increases cancer mortality risk while having more social support satisfaction is associated with lower mortality risks (Salazaor et al., 2023; Boen et al., 2018).  Meta-analysis of 148 studies (308,849 participants) found that that on the average there is a 50% increased likelihood of survival for participants with stronger social relationships (Holt-Lunstad et al., 2010).

Having meaning and purpose make each moment worth living and may contribute to improving immune function and possible cancer survival (LeShan, 1994; Rosenbaum & Rosenbaum, 2023).

Summary

See also the following blogs:

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